Predictions for Phillies vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 20
Saturday’s game features the Philadelphia Phillies (62-35) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (49-48) matching up at PNC Park in what should be a tight matchup, with a projected 4-3 victory for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on July 20.
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Phillies vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Pirates 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -161 | +136 | 8.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been victorious in 54, or 67.5%, of the 80 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Phillies have come away with a win 38 times in 52 chances when named as a favorite of at least -161 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 44 of 97 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Phillies went 6-5 across the 11 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total nine times (all 15 games had set totals).
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh is 25-28 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 47.2% of those games).
- The Pirates are 6-8 (winning 42.9% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +136 or longer.
- Pittsburgh has played in 97 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-48-4).
- In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 4-4.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Pittsburgh and its opponents are 8-7-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez
- The 27-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with a 2.96 ERA and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .253.
- Cristopher Sanchez’s team has won 52.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (9-8).
- Sanchez’s team is 10-8 when he starts this season.
- In Sanchez’s 18 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Ortiz
- In 25 games this season, the 25-year-old has an ERA of 2.83, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .232 against him.
- The Pirates were named the moneyline underdog for two Luis Ortiz starts this season — they split the games.
- Ortiz’s team is 2-1 in his three starts.
- Ortiz has started three games with a set total this season. His team has not hit the over in any of them.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 62-35 |
| Home | 37-16 |
| Road | 25-19 |
| One-Run Games | 14-11 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-6 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 49-48 |
| Home | 23-24 |
| Road | 26-24 |
| One-Run Games | 17-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 31-6 |
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