Predictions for Padres vs. Guardians: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 20
Saturday’s contest that pits the Cleveland Guardians (59-37) versus the San Diego Padres (50-50) at Progressive Field is expected to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Guardians. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on July 20.
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Padres vs. Guardians Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, July 20, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: SDPA
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Padres vs. Guardians Predictions
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Padres 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Padres vs. Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -112 | -108 | 8 | -108 | -112 |
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Padres Betting Insights
- San Diego has come away with 28 wins in the 56 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Padres have come away with a win 28 times in 56 chances when named as a favorite of at least -112 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Contests involving San Diego have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 53 of 100 chances this season.
- The Padres went 1-5 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, San Diego and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).
Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland has won 16 of the 33 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (48.5%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, the Guardians have a 15-16 record (winning 48.4% of their games).
- Cleveland has played in 96 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-43-6).
- The Guardians have played as underdogs four times in their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
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Padres vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers
Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease
- The 28-year-old has pitched in 20 games this season with a 3.99 ERA and 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .210.
- Dylan Cease’s team has won 55.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-8).
- Cease’s team has an 11-9 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Cease have a 10-10-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Gavin Williams
- The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.77, with 5.7 strikeouts per nine innings in three games this season. Opponents have a .250 batting average against him.
- The Guardians have not been a moneyline underdog when Gavin Williams starts this season.
- Williams’ team has won one of his three starts.
- Williams has started three contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in one of them.
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Padres’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 50-50 |
| Home | 26-28 |
| Road | 24-22 |
| One-Run Games | 10-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 38-5 |
Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 59-37 |
| Home | 31-11 |
| Road | 28-26 |
| One-Run Games | 17-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-6 |
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