Saturday’s game between the New York Mets (49-47) and Miami Marlins (34-63) squaring off at LoanDepot park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Mets, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will start at 4:10 PM ET on July 20.

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Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Mets vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -175 +145 8.5 -105 -115

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 30 wins in the 54 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a win-loss record of 4-1 when favored by -175 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 52 of 96 opportunities.
  • The Mets went 9-4 across the 13 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total nine times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has compiled a 30-50 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 37.5% of those games).
  • The Marlins have gone 10-21 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +145 or longer (32.3%).
  • Miami has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 97 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 51 of those games (51-43-3).
  • In 13 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-9.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over 10 times.

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Read More About This Game

Mets vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.78 and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .232 in 18 games this season.
  • Luis Severino’s team has been victorious in 61.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-5.
  • Severino’s team has a 9-9 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Severino has started this season hit the over 11 times in 18 chances.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Roddery Munoz

  • The 24-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.47, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 10 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .237 batting average against him.
  • The Marlins are 2-6 in Munoz’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Over Munoz’s nine starts, his team is 3-6.
  • Roddery Munoz has had nine starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in three of those games.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-47
Home 26-26
Road 23-21
One-Run Games 18-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-15

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 34-63
Home 19-31
Road 15-32
One-Run Games 16-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 18-12

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