Friday’s contest that pits the New York Yankees (58-40) against the Tampa Bay Rays (48-48) at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who are a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. First pitch is at 7:05 PM on July 19.

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Yankees vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Yankees vs. Rays Betting Lines

Yankees vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -170 +142 8 -115 -105

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has won 42, or 56.8%, of the 74 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Yankees have a mark of 15-9 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -170 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 50 of 98 chances this season.
  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 2-9 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay is 18-24 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 42.9% of those games).
  • The Rays have played four times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +142 or longer, and lost each game.
  • Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to go over the total 45 times this season for a 45-48-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in six of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Tampa Bay and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times.

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Read More About This Game

Yankees vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Gerrit Cole

  • The 33-year-old has pitched to a 5.40 ERA this season with 10 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.5 walks per nine across five games.
  • Gerrit Cole’s team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Cole’s team has won three of his five starts this season.
  • In games Cole has started this season, the teams are 4-1-0 at hitting the over.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Zach Eflin

  • The 30-year-old has put up a 3.99 ERA and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings across 17 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .257 to opposing hitters.
  • The Rays have been the moneyline underdog in five of Eflin’s starts this season, and they went 4-1 in those matchups.
  • Over Eflin’s 17 starts, his team is 10-7.
  • Eflin’s starts went over the run total seven times in 17 games with a set total this season.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 58-40
Home 25-19
Road 33-21
One-Run Games 11-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 43-6

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 48-48
Home 27-27
Road 21-21
One-Run Games 17-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-6

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