Friday’s game features the Philadelphia Phillies (62-34) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (48-48) facing off at PNC Park in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 6-5 victory for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 6:40 PM ET on July 19.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Phillies vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Phillies vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Phillies -143 +120 8 -105 -115

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Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 79 games this year, and has walked away with the win 54 times (68.4%) in those games.
  • This year, the Phillies have won 41 of 59 games when listed as at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of 96 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-4 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has been the underdog on the moneyline 52 total times this season. It has gone 24-28 in those games.
  • The Pirates have a 12-13 record (winning 48% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
  • In the 96 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Pittsburgh, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-48-4).
  • In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-5.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Phillies vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.38, a 4.3 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.028 in 19 games this season.
  • Aaron Nola’s team has been victorious in 87.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 14-2.
  • Nola’s team has won 15 of his 19 starts.
  • In games Nola has started this season, the teams are 8-10-1 at hitting the over.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Martín Pérez

  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 5.15, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .314 batting average against him.
  • The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in nine of Pérez’s starts this season, and they went 3-6 in those matchups.
  • Pérez’s team has won four of his 14 starts.
  • Pérez’s starts went over the run total seven times in 14 games with a set total this season.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 62-34
Home 37-16
Road 25-18
One-Run Games 14-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 44-5

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 48-48
Home 22-24
Road 26-24
One-Run Games 16-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-6

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