Predictions for Phillies vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 19
Friday’s game features the Philadelphia Phillies (62-34) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (48-48) facing off at PNC Park in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 6-5 victory for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 6:40 PM ET on July 19.
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Phillies vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Pirates 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -143 | +120 | 8 | -105 | -115 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has been chosen as the favorite in 79 games this year, and has walked away with the win 54 times (68.4%) in those games.
- This year, the Phillies have won 41 of 59 games when listed as at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of 96 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Phillies were the moneyline favorite for 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-4 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 outings, Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the total eight times (all 15 games had set totals).
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has been the underdog on the moneyline 52 total times this season. It has gone 24-28 in those games.
- The Pirates have a 12-13 record (winning 48% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
- In the 96 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Pittsburgh, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-48-4).
- In eight games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-5.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola
- The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.38, a 4.3 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.028 in 19 games this season.
- Aaron Nola’s team has been victorious in 87.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 14-2.
- Nola’s team has won 15 of his 19 starts.
- In games Nola has started this season, the teams are 8-10-1 at hitting the over.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Martín Pérez
- The 33-year-old has an ERA of 5.15, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings in 14 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .314 batting average against him.
- The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in nine of Pérez’s starts this season, and they went 3-6 in those matchups.
- Pérez’s team has won four of his 14 starts.
- Pérez’s starts went over the run total seven times in 14 games with a set total this season.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 62-34 |
| Home | 37-16 |
| Road | 25-18 |
| One-Run Games | 14-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 44-5 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 48-48 |
| Home | 22-24 |
| Road | 26-24 |
| One-Run Games | 16-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 30-6 |
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