Predictions for Mets vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 19
Friday’s contest between the New York Mets (49-46) and the Miami Marlins (33-63) at LoanDepot park should be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 6-5, with the Mets coming out on top. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on July 19.
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Mets vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -130 | +110 | 8.5 | -102 | -118 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has been the favorite in 53 games this season, and has come away with the win 30 times (56.6%) in those contests.
- This year, the Mets have won 17 of 27 games when listed as at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of 95 opportunities.
- The Mets had a 9-4 record in the 13 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to go over the total nine times.
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has been the moneyline underdog 79 total times this season. It has finished 29-50 in those games.
- The Marlins have a 23-40 record (winning just 36.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
- Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 50 times this season for a 50-43-3 record against the over/under.
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 13 of their past 15 games and went 3-10 in those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents are 9-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Mets vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea
- The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.46 ERA this season with 9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.7 walks per nine across 18 games.
- Sean Manaea’s team has won 61.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-5).
- Manaea’s team has won 12 of his 18 starts.
- Games Manaea has started this season hit the over eight times in 18 chances.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera
- In seven games this season, the 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 8.26, with 13.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .263 against him.
- The Marlins are 1-3 in Cabrera’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Cabrera’s team is 3-4 over his seven starts.
- Edward Cabrera has had seven starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in six of those matchups.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 49-46 |
| Home | 26-26 |
| Road | 23-20 |
| One-Run Games | 18-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 35-15 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 33-63 |
| Home | 18-31 |
| Road | 15-32 |
| One-Run Games | 16-13 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 17-12 |
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