Predictions for Mariners vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 19
Friday’s contest at T-Mobile Park has the Seattle Mariners (52-46) squaring off against the Houston Astros (50-46) at 10:10 PM ET (on July 19). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Mariners, so expect a tight matchup.
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Mariners vs. Astros Matchup Info
- When: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 10:10 PM ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mariners vs. Astros Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Astros 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
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Mariners vs. Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -130 | +110 | 7 | -115 | -105 |
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Mariners Betting Insights
- Seattle has been chosen as the favorite in 60 games this year, and has walked away with the win 35 times (58.3%) in those games.
- This year, the Mariners have won 28 of 46 games when listed as at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of 98 opportunities.
- The Mariners had a 4-6 record in the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Seattle combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has won 13 of the 27 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (48.1%).
- The Astros have a 4-5 record (winning 44.4% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
- Houston has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 38 times this season for a 38-54-4 record against the over/under.
- In seven games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Astros have a record of 3-4.
- Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Mariners vs. Astros Probable Pitchers
Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Castillo
- The 31-year-old has pitched to a 3.53 ERA this season with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 20 games.
- Luis Castillo’s team has a record of 8-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Castillo’s team has a 10-10 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Castillo’s 20 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown
- The 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.39, with 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 19 games this season. Opponents have a .257 batting average against him.
- The Astros have a 1-3 record in Brown’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Brown’s team has an 8-10 record in his starts this season.
- Brown’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in seven of 18 contests.
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Mariners’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 52-46 |
| Home | 30-18 |
| Road | 22-28 |
| One-Run Games | 19-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 30-3 |
Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 50-46 |
| Home | 28-21 |
| Road | 22-25 |
| One-Run Games | 7-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 39-5 |
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