Sunday’s contest features the Cincinnati Reds (47-49) and the Miami Marlins (32-63) matching up at Great American Ball Park (on July 14) at 1:40 PM. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 5-3 victory for the Reds.

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Reds vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Reds vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Reds vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Reds vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Reds -185 +154 9 -112 -108

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Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has come away with 25 wins in the 43 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Reds have a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by -185 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 43 of 96 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Reds went 5-3 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, Cincinnati and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has won 35.9% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (28-50).
  • The Marlins have a 7-19 record (winning only 26.9% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +154 or longer.
  • Miami has had an over/under set by bookmakers 95 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 50 of those games (50-42-3).
  • In 13 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-10.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Miami and its opponents are 10-4-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Reds vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Nick Lodolo

  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.30, a 3.85 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.100 in 13 games this season.
  • When Nick Lodolo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-3.
  • In games Lodolo has started, his team is 10-3.
  • In Lodolo’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers

  • In 18 games this season, the 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.82, with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .283 against him.
  • The Marlins are 3-12 in Rogers’ 15 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Rogers’ team has compiled a 3-15 record in his 18 starts.
  • Rogers’ starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 18 games with a set total this season.

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Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-49
Home 25-27
Road 22-22
One-Run Games 8-17
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-7

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 32-63
Home 18-31
Road 14-32
One-Run Games 15-13
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-12

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