Sunday’s contest between the Cleveland Guardians (58-36) and Tampa Bay Rays (47-48) matching up at Tropicana Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Guardians, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 1:40 PM ET on July 14.

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Rays vs. Guardians Matchup Info

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Rays vs. Guardians Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Rays vs. Guardians Betting Lines

Rays vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Rays -125 +105 8 -104 -125

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Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has been victorious in 28, or 54.9%, of the 51 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Rays have a mark of 20-16 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of 95 opportunities.
  • The Rays went 4-4 over the eight games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Tampa Bay combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.

Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has a 16-16 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
  • The Guardians have a 9-10 record (winning 47.4% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
  • Cleveland has had an over/under set by bookmakers 94 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 47 of those games (47-41-6).
  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents are 10-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Rays vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Ryan Pepiot

  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 4.20 ERA this season with 10 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.4 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • When Ryan Pepiot starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-5.
  • Pepiot’s team has won eight of his 16 starts this season.
  • Games Pepiot has started this season hit the over seven times in 16 chances.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Ben Lively

  • In 15 games this season, the 32-year-old has an ERA of 3.59, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .244 against him.
  • The Guardians are 1-3 in Lively’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Lively’s team has won 10 of his 15 starts.
  • Ben Lively has started 15 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.

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Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-48
Home 26-27
Road 21-21
One-Run Games 17-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-6

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 58-36
Home 30-11
Road 28-25
One-Run Games 17-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 43-6

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