Predictions for Reds vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 13
Saturday’s contest that pits the Cincinnati Reds (46-49) against the Miami Marlins (32-62) at Great American Ball Park has a projected final score of 4-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Reds, who are slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. First pitch is at 4:10 PM on July 13.
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Reds vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, July 13, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Reds vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Reds 4, Marlins 3
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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Reds vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -161 | +136 | 9 | +100 | -120 |
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Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has been chosen as the favorite in 42 games this year, and has walked away with the win 24 times (57.1%) in those games.
- This season, the Reds have come away with a win seven times in 11 chances when named as a favorite of at least -161 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 42 of 95 chances this season.
- The Reds had a 4-3 record in the seven games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Cincinnati and its opponents combined to hit the over eight times.
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has put together a 28-49 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 36.4% of those games).
- The Marlins are 10-26 (winning just 27.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +136 or longer.
- Miami has had an over/under set by bookmakers 94 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 49 of those games (49-42-3).
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 13 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Reds vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott
- The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.06 and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .213 in 18 games this season.
- Andrew Abbott’s team has a record of 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Abbott’s team is 11-7 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Abbott have a 4-13-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera
- The 26-year-old has amassed a 6.84 ERA and 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings across six games this season, while giving up a batting average of .245 to his opponents.
- The Marlins have a 1-2 record in Cabrera’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Cabrera’s team has compiled a 3-3 record in his six starts.
- Edward Cabrera has started six games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.
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Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 46-49 |
| Home | 24-27 |
| Road | 22-22 |
| One-Run Games | 8-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 33-7 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 32-62 |
| Home | 18-31 |
| Road | 14-31 |
| One-Run Games | 15-13 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 17-11 |
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