Predictions for Rays vs. Guardians: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 12
Friday’s contest at Tropicana Field has the Cleveland Guardians (57-35) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (46-47) at 6:50 PM ET (on July 12). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Guardians, so it should be a tight matchup.
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Rays vs. Guardians Matchup Info
- When: Friday, July 12, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Rays vs. Guardians Predictions
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rays 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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Rays vs. Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -135 | +114 | 8 | -115 | -105 |
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Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has come away with 27 wins in the 50 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Rays have a mark of 15-13 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -135 or better on the moneyline.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 45 of 93 opportunities.
- The Rays had a 4-4 record across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Tampa Bay combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland has won 16 of the 31 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (51.6%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Guardians have a record of 8-6 (57.1%).
- In the 92 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-39-6).
- The Guardians have played as underdogs four times in their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
- Cleveland and its opponents have combined to hit the over 10 times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Rays vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley
- The 23-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.23, a 3.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.125.
- Taj Bradley’s team is 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Bradley has started, his team is 6-5.
- Games Bradley has started this season hit the over one time in 11 chances.
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Carlos Carrasco
- The 37-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.22, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opposing batters have a .272 batting average against him.
- The Guardians are 1-6 in Carrasco’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Carrasco’s 16 starts, his team is 7-9.
- Carlos Carrasco has had 16 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and six of those games hit the over.
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Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 46-47 |
| Home | 25-26 |
| Road | 21-21 |
| One-Run Games | 17-9 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 29-6 |
Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 57-35 |
| Home | 30-11 |
| Road | 27-24 |
| One-Run Games | 17-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 43-6 |
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