Friday’s contest at Tropicana Field has the Cleveland Guardians (57-35) taking on the Tampa Bay Rays (46-47) at 6:50 PM ET (on July 12). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Guardians, so it should be a tight matchup.

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Rays vs. Guardians Matchup Info

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Rays vs. Guardians Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Rays vs. Guardians Betting Lines

Rays vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Rays -135 +114 8 -115 -105

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Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has come away with 27 wins in the 50 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Rays have a mark of 15-13 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -135 or better on the moneyline.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 45 of 93 opportunities.
  • The Rays had a 4-4 record across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Tampa Bay combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.

Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has won 16 of the 31 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (51.6%).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Guardians have a record of 8-6 (57.1%).
  • In the 92 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Cleveland, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-39-6).
  • The Guardians have played as underdogs four times in their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have combined to hit the over 10 times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Rays vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley

  • The 23-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.23, a 3.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.125.
  • Taj Bradley’s team is 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Bradley has started, his team is 6-5.
  • Games Bradley has started this season hit the over one time in 11 chances.

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Carlos Carrasco

  • The 37-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.22, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opposing batters have a .272 batting average against him.
  • The Guardians are 1-6 in Carrasco’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • In Carrasco’s 16 starts, his team is 7-9.
  • Carlos Carrasco has had 16 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and six of those games hit the over.

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Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 46-47
Home 25-26
Road 21-21
One-Run Games 17-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-6

Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 57-35
Home 30-11
Road 27-24
One-Run Games 17-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 43-6

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