Thursday’s game features the New York Yankees (56-38) and the Tampa Bay Rays (45-47) facing off at Tropicana Field in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 4-3 win for the Yankees according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:50 PM ET on July 11.

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Yankees vs. Rays Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Rays Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Rays 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Yankees vs. Rays Betting Lines

Yankees vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -122 +102 8 -110 -110

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has been the favorite in 71 games this season, and has come away with the win 41 times (57.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Yankees have come away with a win 37 times in 64 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 48 of 94 chances this season.
  • The Yankees had a 1-11 record in the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 15 games had set totals).

Rays Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has won 17 of the 40 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (42.5%).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Rays have gone 9-15 (37.5%).
  • In the 92 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Tampa Bay, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-45-3).
  • The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 4-9-2 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Rays Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.

  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with a 3.41 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .238.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr.’s team is 6-10 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Cortes has started, his team is 7-12.
  • Games started by Cortes have a 7-10-2 record at hitting the over this season.

Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz

  • In one game this season, he has put up a 4.50 ERA and averages 9 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .292 against him.
  • The Rays have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Shane Baz starts this season.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Baz’s lone start with a total this season went under.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 56-38
Home 25-19
Road 31-19
One-Run Games 11-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 42-5

Rays’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-47
Home 24-26
Road 21-21
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-6

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