Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11
Thursday’s game features the New York Yankees (56-38) and the Tampa Bay Rays (45-47) facing off at Tropicana Field in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 4-3 win for the Yankees according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:50 PM ET on July 11.
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Yankees vs. Rays Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 6:50 PM ET
- Where: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Yankees vs. Rays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Rays 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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Yankees vs. Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -122 | +102 | 8 | -110 | -110 |
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Yankees Betting Insights
- New York has been the favorite in 71 games this season, and has come away with the win 41 times (57.7%) in those contests.
- This season, the Yankees have come away with a win 37 times in 64 chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 48 of 94 chances this season.
- The Yankees had a 1-11 record in the 12 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 15 games had set totals).
Rays Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay has won 17 of the 40 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (42.5%).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, the Rays have gone 9-15 (37.5%).
- In the 92 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Tampa Bay, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-45-3).
- The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Tampa Bay and its opponents are 4-9-2 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Yankees vs. Rays Probable Pitchers
Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.
- The 29-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with a 3.41 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .238.
- Nestor Cortes Jr.’s team is 6-10 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Cortes has started, his team is 7-12.
- Games started by Cortes have a 7-10-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Rays’ Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz
- In one game this season, he has put up a 4.50 ERA and averages 9 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .292 against him.
- The Rays have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Shane Baz starts this season.
- His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Baz’s lone start with a total this season went under.
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Yankees’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 56-38 |
| Home | 25-19 |
| Road | 31-19 |
| One-Run Games | 11-11 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 42-5 |
Rays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 45-47 |
| Home | 24-26 |
| Road | 21-21 |
| One-Run Games | 16-9 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 28-6 |
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