Predictions for Tigers vs. Guardians: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11
Thursday’s contest at Comerica Park has the Cleveland Guardians (57-34) taking on the Detroit Tigers (44-49) at 1:10 PM ET (on July 11). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Guardians, so it should be a tight matchup.
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Tigers vs. Guardians Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
- Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
- How to Watch on TV: BSGL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Tigers vs. Guardians Predictions
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -130 | +110 | 8 | -115 | -105 |
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Tigers Betting Insights
- Detroit has been chosen as the favorite in 39 games this year, and has walked away with the win 19 times (48.7%) in those games.
- This season, the Tigers have come away with a win 14 times in 22 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
- Detroit and its opponents have gone over in 50 of 92 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Tigers played as the moneyline favorite in four of their past 15 games, and they finished 1-3 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Detroit and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
Guardians Betting Insights
- Cleveland has been the underdog on the moneyline 30 total times this season. It has finished 16-14 in those games.
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Guardians have a record of 9-7 (56.2%).
- Cleveland has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 46 times this season for a 46-39-6 record against the over/under.
- The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and won one of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Cleveland and its opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
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Tigers vs. Guardians Probable Pitchers
Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.24, an 8.21 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.000 in 15 games this season.
- Jack Flaherty’s team is 2-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Flaherty’s team has an 8-7 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Flaherty’s 15 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Howard
- He has a 5.63 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .327 against him over his seven games this season.
- The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for one Spencer Howard start this season — they won.
- His team split the two games he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Howard’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
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Tigers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 44-49 |
| Home | 21-23 |
| Road | 23-26 |
| One-Run Games | 16-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 31-6 |
Guardians’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 57-34 |
| Home | 30-11 |
| Road | 27-23 |
| One-Run Games | 17-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 43-6 |
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