Predictions for Red Sox vs. Athletics: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11
Thursday’s game at Fenway Park has the Boston Red Sox (50-41) squaring off against the Oakland Athletics (35-59) at 7:10 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 5-3 win for the Red Sox, who are a slight favorite based on our model.
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Red Sox vs. Athletics Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
- How to Watch on TV: NESN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Red Sox vs. Athletics Predictions
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Athletics 3
- Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
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Red Sox vs. Athletics Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -218 | +180 | 10 | -110 | -110 |
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Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has come away with 28 wins in the 49 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Red Sox have won one of three games when listed as at least -218 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 45 of 91 chances this season.
- The Red Sox had a 7-4 record in the 11 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times.
Athletics Betting Insights
- Oakland has been the underdog on the moneyline 85 total times this season. It has gone 28-57 in those games.
- The Athletics are 5-8 (winning just 38.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer.
- Oakland has played in 94 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 42 times (42-50-2).
- In 14 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Athletics had a record of 5-9.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Oakland and its opponents are 6-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
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Red Sox vs. Athletics Probable Pitchers
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck
- The 28-year-old has pitched to a 2.68 ERA this season with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across 18 games.
- Tanner Houck’s team has been victorious in 71.4% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-4.
- Houck’s team has won 12 of his 18 starts.
- Out of Houck’s 18 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Athletics’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Medina
- In seven games this season, the 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.37, with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .267 against him.
- The Athletics have a 2-5 record in Medina’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Medina’s team has put together a 2-5 record in his seven starts.
- Luis Medina has started seven games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in one of them.
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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 50-41 |
| Home | 21-24 |
| Road | 29-17 |
| One-Run Games | 11-5 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 39-4 |
Athletics’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 35-59 |
| Home | 22-25 |
| Road | 13-34 |
| One-Run Games | 12-17 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 21-7 |
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