Predictions for Phillies vs. Dodgers: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11
Thursday’s contest that pits the Philadelphia Phillies (60-32) against the Los Angeles Dodgers (55-38) at Citizens Bank Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. First pitch is at 6:05 PM ET on July 11.
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Phillies vs. Dodgers Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 6:05 PM ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet LA
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Phillies vs. Dodgers Predictions
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Dodgers 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
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Phillies vs. Dodgers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -155 | +130 | 9.5 | +100 | -120 |
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Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has won 52, or 69.3%, of the 75 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- The Phillies have a mark of 39-13 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -155 or better on the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of 92 opportunities.
- The Phillies had a 7-4 record in the 11 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total eight times.
Dodgers Betting Insights
- Los Angeles has won two of the eight games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (25%).
- The Dodgers have played as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
- Los Angeles has played in 93 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-44-1).
- The Dodgers have played as underdogs three times in their past 15 games and lost each of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Los Angeles and its opponents are 10-5-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Phillies vs. Dodgers Probable Pitchers
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola
- The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.48, a 4.28 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.029 in 18 games this season.
- Aaron Nola’s team is 13-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Nola’s team has won 14 of his 18 starts this season.
- Games started by Nola have an 8-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Dodgers’ Starting Pitcher: Landon Knack
- The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.86, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings in seven games this season. Opposing hitters have a .197 batting average against him.
- The Dodgers were the moneyline underdog for one Landon Knack start this season — they lost.
- Knack’s team has a 2-5 record in his starts this season.
- Knack has had seven starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in three of those matchups.
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Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 60-32 |
| Home | 35-14 |
| Road | 25-18 |
| One-Run Games | 14-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 42-5 |
Dodgers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 55-38 |
| Home | 28-19 |
| Road | 27-19 |
| One-Run Games | 10-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 38-7 |
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