Thursday’s contest at Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the Baltimore Orioles (57-35) matching up with the Chicago Cubs (44-49) at 6:35 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 4-3 win for the Orioles, who are a slight favorite based on our model.

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Orioles vs. Cubs Matchup Info

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Orioles vs. Cubs Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Cubs 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Orioles vs. Cubs Betting Lines

Orioles vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Orioles -130 +110 8.5 -118 -102

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Orioles Betting Insights

  • Baltimore has come away with 45 wins in the 74 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Orioles have a win-loss record of 37-24 when favored by -130 or better by sportsbooks this year.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 46 of 91 opportunities.
  • The Orioles went 6-7 across the 13 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Baltimore and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.

Cubs Betting Insights

  • Chicago has won 45.8% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (22-26).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Cubs have a record of 12-11 (52.2%).
  • In the 93 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Chicago, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-49-5).
  • In nine games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Cubs had a record of 4-5.
  • Chicago and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Orioles vs. Cubs Probable Pitchers

Orioles’ Starting Pitcher: Albert Suarez

  • The 34-year-old has pitched to a 2.48 ERA this season with 7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.2 walks per nine across 18 games.
  • When Albert Suarez starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-2.
  • Suarez’s team has a 7-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Suarez’s 11 starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.

Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Justin Steele

  • In 13 games this season, the 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.95, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .206 against him.
  • The Cubs are 1-3 in Steele’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Steele’s 13 starts, his team is 4-9.
  • Steele’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 13 contests.

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Orioles’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 57-35
Home 29-19
Road 28-16
One-Run Games 10-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 39-6

Cubs’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-49
Home 25-21
Road 19-28
One-Run Games 14-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-7

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