Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 11
Thursday’s game between the New York Mets (46-45) and Washington Nationals (42-51) matching up at Citi Field has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Mets, so expect a tight matchup. The game will begin at 1:10 PM ET on July 11.
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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: SNY
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -143 | +120 | 8.5 | -118 | -102 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has come away with 27 wins in the 49 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Mets have come away with a win 10 times in 15 chances when named as a favorite of at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 48 of 91 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mets were the moneyline favorite in 11 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-4 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 outings (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to hit the over on the run total 10 times.
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington is 33-45 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.3% of those games).
- The Nationals have a record of 21-31 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (40.4%).
- Washington has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times this season for a 44-44-5 record against the over/under.
- In 12 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Nationals had a record of 3-9.
- Washington and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Read More About This Game
Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: David Peterson
- The 28-year-old has pitched in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.58, a 1.69 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.460.
- David Peterson and his team have won each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Peterson’s team has won six of his seven starts.
- Games started by Peterson have a 5-1-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Over 18 games this season, the 25-year-old has put up a 4.02 ERA and 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .275 to opposing hitters.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 11 of Gore’s starts this season, and they went 4-7 in those matchups.
- Gore’s team has won eight of his 18 starts.
- MacKenzie Gore has had 18 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those games hit the over.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 46-45 |
| Home | 23-25 |
| Road | 23-20 |
| One-Run Games | 17-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 32-14 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 42-51 |
| Home | 20-24 |
| Road | 22-27 |
| One-Run Games | 8-13 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 28-13 |
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