Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 9
Tuesday’s game that pits the New York Mets (44-45) versus the Washington Nationals (42-49) at Citi Field should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Mets. Game time is at 7:10 PM ET on July 9.
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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Nationals 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -135 | +114 | 8.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has been victorious in 25, or 53.2%, of the 47 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Mets have been victorious 11 times in 19 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of 89 opportunities.
- The Mets were favored on the moneyline for 10 of their past 15 games, and they finished 5-5 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total nine times.
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington has been the underdog on the moneyline 76 total times this season. It has gone 33-43 in those games.
- The Nationals are 24-34 (winning 41.4% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer.
- Washington has played in 91 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-43-5).
- In 11 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Nationals had a record of 3-8.
- Washington and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Read More About This Game
Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana
- The 35-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with a 4.22 ERA and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .256.
- Jose Quintana’s team has a record of 4-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Quintana’s team has a 9-8 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Quintana’s 17 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin
- The 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.80, with 8 strikeouts per nine innings in 18 games this season. Opponents are hitting .212 against him.
- The Nationals are 7-9 in Irvin’s 16 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Irvin’s 18 starts, his team is 8-10.
- Irvin’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 18 games.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 44-45 |
| Home | 21-25 |
| Road | 23-20 |
| One-Run Games | 17-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 30-14 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 42-49 |
| Home | 20-24 |
| Road | 22-25 |
| One-Run Games | 8-13 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 28-12 |
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