Predictions for Mariners vs. Padres: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 9
Tuesday’s game between the San Diego Padres (49-45) and Seattle Mariners (49-43) matching up at PETCO Park has a projected final score of 6-5 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Padres, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 9:40 PM ET on July 9.
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Mariners vs. Padres Matchup Info
- When: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mariners vs. Padres Predictions
- Score Prediction: Padres 6, Mariners 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Mariners vs. Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -148 | +124 | 8 | -105 | -115 |
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Mariners Betting Insights
- Seattle has won 33, or 60%, of the 55 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This year, the Mariners have won 19 of 30 games when listed as at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving Seattle have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 38 of 92 chances this season.
- The Mariners had a 4-6 record over the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), Seattle combined with its opponents to go over the run total six times.
Padres Betting Insights
- San Diego has won 22 of the 41 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (53.7%).
- The Padres have an 8-7 record (winning 53.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
- San Diego has played in 94 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 51 times (51-42-1).
- The Padres have played as underdogs in eight of their past 15 games and won seven of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, San Diego and its opponents are 12-3-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Mariners vs. Padres Probable Pitchers
Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- The 27-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with a 2.91 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .199.
- Logan Gilbert’s team has been victorious in 53.8% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-6.
- Gilbert’s team has a 10-8 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Gilbert have a 5-13-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Padres’ Starting Pitcher: Adam Mazur
- The 23-year-old has an ERA of 7.52, with 5.1 strikeouts per nine innings in six games this season. Opponents are batting .301 against him.
- The Padres have been the moneyline underdog in four of Mazur’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those games.
- Mazur’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
- Mazur’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of six games.
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Mariners’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 49-43 |
| Home | 30-18 |
| Road | 19-25 |
| One-Run Games | 19-11 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 28-2 |
Padres’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 49-45 |
| Home | 25-24 |
| Road | 24-21 |
| One-Run Games | 10-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 38-5 |
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