Tuesday’s game at Minute Maid Park has the Houston Astros (46-44) going head-to-head against the Miami Marlins (32-58) at 8:10 PM. Our computer prediction projects a 4-3 victory for the Astros, who are a small favorite based on our model.

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Astros vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Astros vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Astros 4, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Astros vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Astros vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -205 +170 8 -118 -102

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Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has been the favorite in 63 games this season, and has come away with the win 33 times (52.4%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Astros have been victorious five times in seven chances when named as a favorite of at least -205 or better on the moneyline.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over in 35 of 90 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Astros have won each of the five games they played as a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Houston combined with its opponents to hit the over on the total nine times.

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has been the moneyline underdog 73 total times this season. It has finished 28-45 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +170 or longer, the Marlins have a record of 4-13 (23.5%).
  • Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 46 times this season for a 46-41-3 record against the over/under.
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 13 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Miami and its opponents are 8-6-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Astros vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Ronel Blanco

  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 2.53 and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .174 in 16 games this season.
  • Ronel Blanco’s team has been victorious in 72.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-3.
  • In games Blanco has started, his team is 12-4.
  • Games started by Blanco have a 4-12-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers

  • The 26-year-old has put together a 4.91 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings over 17 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .283 to opposing batters.
  • The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in 14 of Rogers’ starts this season, and they went 3-11 in those games.
  • In Rogers’ 17 starts, his team is 3-14.
  • Trevor Rogers has started 17 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 46-44
Home 24-19
Road 22-25
One-Run Games 6-16
Scoring 5+ Runs 36-5

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 32-58
Home 18-31
Road 14-27
One-Run Games 15-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 17-11

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