Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 7
Sunday’s contest that pits the New York Yankees (55-36) against the Boston Red Sox (48-40) at Yankee Stadium is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Yankees. Game time is at 7:10 PM ET on July 7.
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- How to Watch on TV: ESPN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Predictions
- Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -148 | +124 | 8.5 | -112 | -108 |
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Yankees Betting Insights
- New York has won 41, or 59.4%, of the 69 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- The Yankees have a win-loss record of 22-14 when favored by -148 or better by oddsmakers this year.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 48 of 91 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 2-10 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total 12 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has been the underdog on the moneyline 40 total times this season. It has finished 21-19 in those games.
- The Red Sox have a 4-10 record (winning just 28.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
- In the 88 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Boston, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-38-6).
- The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers
Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Gil
- The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.41, a 2.13 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.126 in 17 games this season.
- Luis Gil’s team has a record of 10-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Gil’s team has won 12 of his 17 starts.
- In games Gil has started this season, the teams are 9-8-0 at hitting the over.
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.47, with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season. Opponents have a .220 batting average against him.
- The Red Sox have a 2-5 record in Crawford’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Crawford’s team has won five of his 17 starts.
- Crawford’s starts went over the run total seven times in 17 games with a set total this season.
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Yankees’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 55-36 |
| Home | 25-18 |
| Road | 30-18 |
| One-Run Games | 10-11 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 42-5 |
Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 48-40 |
| Home | 20-23 |
| Road | 28-17 |
| One-Run Games | 11-5 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 38-4 |
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