Sunday’s contest between the Minnesota Twins (50-39) and the Houston Astros (46-43) at Target Field has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Twins coming out on top. Game time is at 2:10 PM ET on July 7.

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Twins vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Twins vs. Astros Betting Lines

Twins vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -130 +110 9 -108 -112

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has been victorious in 40, or 64.5%, of the 62 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Twins have been victorious 27 times in 44 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of 88 opportunities.
  • The Twins played as the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 9-5 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Minnesota and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total 12 times.

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has gone 13-12 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 52% of those games).
  • The Astros have a 4-4 record (winning 50% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
  • Houston has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 89 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 35 of those games (35-50-4).
  • In nine games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Astros have a record of 6-3.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Houston and its opponents have failed to hit the over six times.

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Twins vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson

  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 3.52, a 2.86 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.130 in 14 games this season.
  • Simeon Woods Richardson’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-2.
  • Richardson’s team has a 10-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Richardson has started this season hit the over seven times in 13 chances.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti

  • In 15 games this season, the 24-year-old has a 6.13 ERA and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .275 to his opponents.
  • The Astros have a 1-3 record in Arrighetti’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Arrighetti’s team has compiled a 7-8 record in his 15 starts.
  • Spencer Arrighetti has had 15 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those games finished over the total.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 50-39
Home 26-18
Road 24-21
One-Run Games 14-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-7

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 46-43
Home 24-19
Road 22-24
One-Run Games 6-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 36-5

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