Predictions for Tigers vs. Reds: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 7
Sunday’s game that pits the Cincinnati Reds (42-47) versus the Detroit Tigers (41-48) at Great American Ball Park should be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Reds. First pitch is at 1:40 PM ET on July 7.
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Tigers vs. Reds Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSDET
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Tigers vs. Reds Predictions
- Score Prediction: Reds 5, Tigers 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Tigers vs. Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | -135 | +114 | 8 | -112 | -108 |
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Tigers Betting Insights
- Detroit has been the favorite in 38 games this season, and has come away with the win 18 times (47.4%) in those contests.
- This season, the Tigers have come away with a win 13 times in 20 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or better on the moneyline.
- Detroit and its opponents have gone over in 48 of 88 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Tigers went 2-4 over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups, Detroit and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Reds Betting Insights
- Cincinnati has won 43.1% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (22-29).
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Reds have a 13-14 record (winning 48.1% of their games).
- Cincinnati has combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times this season for a 38-47-4 record against the over/under.
- In nine games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Reds have a record of 6-3.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
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Read More About This Game
Tigers vs. Reds Probable Pitchers
Tigers’ Starting Pitcher: Tarik Skubal
- The 27-year-old has pitched to a 2.45 ERA this season with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.7 walks per nine across 17 games.
- Tarik Skubal’s team has a record of 9-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Skubal’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts.
- Games started by Skubal have an 11-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
- In 14 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 5.45 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .279 to his opponents.
- The Reds are 4-5 in Ashcraft’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Ashcraft’s team is 7-7 over his 14 starts.
- Graham Ashcraft has had 14 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 10 of those games hit the over.
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Tigers’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 41-48 |
| Home | 19-22 |
| Road | 22-26 |
| One-Run Games | 14-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 29-5 |
Reds’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 42-47 |
| Home | 20-25 |
| Road | 22-22 |
| One-Run Games | 8-16 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 29-6 |
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