Predictions for Mets vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 7
Sunday’s contest between the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-46) and the New York Mets (43-44) at PNC Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Pirates coming out on top. Game time is at 1:35 PM ET on July 7.
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Mets vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: SNY
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Mets 3
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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Mets vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -135 | +114 | 9 | -110 | -110 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has come away with 24 wins in the 46 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Mets have a mark of 11-8 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -135 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 46 of 87 chances this season.
- The Mets went 4-6 across the 10 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to go over the total nine times.
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has been the moneyline underdog 48 total times this season. It has gone 22-26 in those games.
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Pirates have gone 12-15 (44.4%).
- Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 40 times this season for a 40-44-4 record against the over/under.
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
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Mets vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea
- The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.67 ERA this season with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.9 walks per nine across 16 games.
- When Sean Manaea starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-5.
- Manaea’s team has won 10 of his 16 starts this season.
- In Manaea’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Ortiz
- In his 23 games this season, opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .240 against him. He has a 3.27 ERA and averages 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings.
- The Pirates were the moneyline underdog for one Luis Ortiz start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
- Ortiz’s lone start with a total this season went under.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 43-44 |
| Home | 21-25 |
| Road | 22-19 |
| One-Run Games | 16-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 30-14 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 42-46 |
| Home | 21-23 |
| Road | 21-23 |
| One-Run Games | 15-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 26-6 |
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