Sunday’s contest between the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-46) and the New York Mets (43-44) at PNC Park has a good chance to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Pirates coming out on top. Game time is at 1:35 PM ET on July 7.

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Mets vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Mets 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Mets vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Mets vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -135 +114 9 -110 -110

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 24 wins in the 46 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a mark of 11-8 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -135 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 46 of 87 chances this season.
  • The Mets went 4-6 across the 10 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to go over the total nine times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has been the moneyline underdog 48 total times this season. It has gone 22-26 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Pirates have gone 12-15 (44.4%).
  • Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 40 times this season for a 40-44-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.

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Mets vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea

  • The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.67 ERA this season with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.9 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • When Sean Manaea starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-5.
  • Manaea’s team has won 10 of his 16 starts this season.
  • In Manaea’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Ortiz

  • In his 23 games this season, opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .240 against him. He has a 3.27 ERA and averages 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Pirates were the moneyline underdog for one Luis Ortiz start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
  • Ortiz’s lone start with a total this season went under.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 43-44
Home 21-25
Road 22-19
One-Run Games 16-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-14

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-46
Home 21-23
Road 21-23
One-Run Games 15-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-6

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