Predictions for Braves vs. Phillies: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 7
Sunday’s game that pits the Atlanta Braves (48-39) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (58-31) at Truist Park is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Braves. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET on July 7.
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Braves vs. Phillies Matchup Info
- When: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: BSSE
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Phillies Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 4, Phillies 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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Braves vs. Phillies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -175 | +145 | 8.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has been chosen as the favorite in 78 games this year, and has walked away with the win 45 times (57.7%) in those games.
- This year, the Braves have won 24 of 37 games when listed as at least -175 or better on the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of 87 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Braves played as the moneyline favorite in 13 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-7 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Phillies Betting Insights
- Philadelphia has gone 8-8 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
- The Phillies have played as a moneyline underdog of +145 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
- Philadelphia has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 40 times this season for a 40-44-5 record against the over/under.
- In three games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Phillies had a record of 2-1.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Philadelphia and its opponents are 8-7-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Braves vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Reynaldo López
- The 30-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with a 1.83 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .216.
- Reynaldo Lopez’s team is 9-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- López’s team has won 10 of his 15 starts this season.
- Games Lopez has started this season hit the over two times in 15 chances.
Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Mercado
- In two games this season, he has compiled a 1.50 ERA and averages 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .100 against him.
- The Phillies were named the moneyline underdog for one Michael Mercado start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Mercado’s lone start with a total this season went over.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 48-39 |
| Home | 28-17 |
| Road | 20-22 |
| One-Run Games | 9-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 31-7 |
Phillies’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 58-31 |
| Home | 33-14 |
| Road | 25-17 |
| One-Run Games | 13-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 41-5 |
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