Sunday’s game that pits the Atlanta Braves (48-39) versus the Philadelphia Phillies (58-31) at Truist Park is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Braves. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET on July 7.

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Braves vs. Phillies Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Phillies Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 4, Phillies 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Braves vs. Phillies Betting Lines

Braves vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -175 +145 8.5 -110 -110

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has been chosen as the favorite in 78 games this year, and has walked away with the win 45 times (57.7%) in those games.
  • This year, the Braves have won 24 of 37 games when listed as at least -175 or better on the moneyline.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 28 of 87 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Braves played as the moneyline favorite in 13 of their past 15 games, and they went 6-7 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has gone 8-8 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
  • The Phillies have played as a moneyline underdog of +145 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
  • Philadelphia has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 40 times this season for a 40-44-5 record against the over/under.
  • In three games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Phillies had a record of 2-1.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Philadelphia and its opponents are 8-7-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Read More About This Game

Braves vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Reynaldo López

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with a 1.83 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .216.
  • Reynaldo Lopez’s team is 9-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • López’s team has won 10 of his 15 starts this season.
  • Games Lopez has started this season hit the over two times in 15 chances.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Michael Mercado

  • In two games this season, he has compiled a 1.50 ERA and averages 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .100 against him.
  • The Phillies were named the moneyline underdog for one Michael Mercado start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Mercado’s lone start with a total this season went over.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 48-39
Home 28-17
Road 20-22
One-Run Games 9-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-7

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 58-31
Home 33-14
Road 25-17
One-Run Games 13-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 41-5

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