Dearica Hamby and the Los Angeles Sparks (5-15) match up against Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury (10-10) on July 7, 2024 at Crypto.com Arena on AZFamily, Mercury Live, and SportsNet LA.

Dive into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) in Sunday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.

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Spread: Sparks (+7) to Cover

  • The Mercury are favored by both DraftKings and the model, but the model has them winning by significantly less (7 to 2.2 points). Take the Sparks and the points.
  • The Sparks have a 9-10-1 record against the spread this season.
  • In games this year in which it was an underdog by 7 points or more, Los Angeles has a 7-3 record against the spread.
  • The Mercury are 12-8-0 against the spread this season.
  • When it has played as at least 7-point favorites this season, Phoenix is 1-2 against the spread.

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Total: Under 168.5

  • The model projects a total 2.1 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
  • Of 20 games thus far this season, the Mercury have played 10 with over 168.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total.
  • This year, nine of Los Angeles’ 20 games have had a combined total higher than 168.5 points scored.
  • The teams have hit the over in nine of the Mercury’s 20 games with a set total.
  • The teams have hit the over in 10 of the Sparks’ 20 games with a set total.

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Moneyline Winner: Mercury (-270)

  • Prediction: Mercury 84, Sparks 82
  • This season, Los Angeles has been the underdog 17 times and won four, or 23.5%, of those games.

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Mercury Leaders

  • The Mercury scoring leader is Copper, who averages 22.4 per contest to go with 4.3 rebounds and 2.2 assists.
  • Phoenix’s leading rebounder is Natasha Mack averaging 5.1 boards per game and its best passer is Natasha Cloud and her 7.4 assists per game.
  • Diana Taurasi leads the Mercury in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • Cloud is Phoenix’s leader in steals, averaging 1.8 steals per game, while Mack leads them in blocks with 1.5 per contest.

Mercury Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Brittney Griner Out Toe

Sparks Leaders

  • The Sparks’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Hamby with 18.8 points and 10.5 rebounds per game.
  • Aari McDonald’s assist statline leads Los Angeles; she records 3.9 assists per game.
  • Kia Nurse makes 1.5 three-pointers per game, the most on the Sparks.
  • Los Angeles’ leader in steals is Hamby (1.5 per game), and its leader in blocks is Cameron Brink (2.3 per game).

Sparks Injuries

Name Game Status Injury
Lexie Brown Out Chron’S Disease
Cameron Brink Out For Season Acl
Julie Allemand Out For Season Ankle
Azurá Stevens Out Arm

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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