Predictions for Mets vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 6
Saturday’s game features the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-45) and the New York Mets (42-44) facing off at PNC Park in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Pirates according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET on July 6.
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Mets vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET
- Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Mets 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
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Mets vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -135 | +114 | 9 | -110 | -110 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has come away with 23 wins in the 45 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- This year, the Mets have won 10 of 18 games when listed as at least -135 or better on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of 86 opportunities.
- The Mets had a 4-6 record over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total 10 times.
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has a 22-25 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.8% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Pirates have gone 12-15 (44.4%).
- In the 87 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Pittsburgh, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-43-4).
- The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.
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Mets vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: David Peterson
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.51, a 1.57 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.440 in six games this season.
- David Peterson has started three games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
- In games Peterson has started, his team is 5-1.
- Out of Peterson’s six starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter
- The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.87, with 6 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opposing batters have a .234 batting average against him.
- The Pirates have a 6-8 record in Falter’s 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Falter’s team is 7-9 over his 16 starts.
- Falter’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 16 games with a set total this season.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 42-44 |
| Home | 21-25 |
| Road | 21-19 |
| One-Run Games | 16-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 29-14 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 42-45 |
| Home | 21-22 |
| Road | 21-23 |
| One-Run Games | 15-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 26-6 |
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