Saturday’s game features the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-45) and the New York Mets (42-44) facing off at PNC Park in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 6-5 win for the Pirates according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET on July 6.

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Mets vs. Pirates Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Pirates Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Mets 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs

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Mets vs. Pirates Betting Lines

Mets vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -135 +114 9 -110 -110

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 23 wins in the 45 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This year, the Mets have won 10 of 18 games when listed as at least -135 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of 86 opportunities.
  • The Mets had a 4-6 record over the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total 10 times.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has a 22-25 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 46.8% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Pirates have gone 12-15 (44.4%).
  • In the 87 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Pittsburgh, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-43-4).
  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.

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Read More About This Game

Mets vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: David Peterson

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.51, a 1.57 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.440 in six games this season.
  • David Peterson has started three games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
  • In games Peterson has started, his team is 5-1.
  • Out of Peterson’s six starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Bailey Falter

  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.87, with 6 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opposing batters have a .234 batting average against him.
  • The Pirates have a 6-8 record in Falter’s 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Falter’s team is 7-9 over his 16 starts.
  • Falter’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 16 games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-44
Home 21-25
Road 21-19
One-Run Games 16-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 29-14

Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-45
Home 21-22
Road 21-23
One-Run Games 15-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-6

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