Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 5
Friday’s game at Yankee Stadium has the New York Yankees (54-35) taking on the Boston Red Sox (47-39) at 7:05 PM ET (on July 5). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Yankees, so expect a tight matchup.
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Matchup Info
- When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 7:05 PM ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
- How to Watch on TV: NESN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Predictions
- Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -143 | +120 | 8.5 | -108 | -112 |
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Yankees Betting Insights
- New York has won 40, or 59.7%, of the 67 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- This season, the Yankees have been victorious 23 times in 40 chances when named as a favorite of at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
- Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 47 of 89 chances this season.
- The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 2-10 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total 12 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has won 52.6% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (20-18).
- The Red Sox have a record of 8-10 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (44.4%).
- Boston has played in 86 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-38-5).
- In four games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Red Sox had a perfect record of 4-0.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers
Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.
- The 29-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 3.51, a 5.16 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.105.
- Nestor Cortes Jr.’s team is 6-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Cortes’ team has won seven of his 18 starts.
- Out of Cortes’ 18 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.67, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season. Opponents are batting .221 against him.
- The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in three of Houck’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
- In Houck’s 17 starts, his team is 11-6.
- Tanner Houck has started 17 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.
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Yankees’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 54-35 |
| Home | 24-17 |
| Road | 30-18 |
| One-Run Games | 10-11 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 41-5 |
Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 47-39 |
| Home | 20-23 |
| Road | 27-16 |
| One-Run Games | 11-5 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 37-4 |
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