Friday’s game at Yankee Stadium has the New York Yankees (54-35) taking on the Boston Red Sox (47-39) at 7:05 PM ET (on July 5). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Yankees, so expect a tight matchup.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Lines

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -143 +120 8.5 -108 -112

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has won 40, or 59.7%, of the 67 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • This season, the Yankees have been victorious 23 times in 40 chances when named as a favorite of at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 47 of 89 chances this season.
  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 2-10 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total 12 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has won 52.6% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (20-18).
  • The Red Sox have a record of 8-10 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (44.4%).
  • Boston has played in 86 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-38-5).
  • In four games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Red Sox had a perfect record of 4-0.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents have failed to hit the over four times.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.

  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 3.51, a 5.16 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.105.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr.’s team is 6-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Cortes’ team has won seven of his 18 starts.
  • Out of Cortes’ 18 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck

  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 2.67, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season. Opponents are batting .221 against him.
  • The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in three of Houck’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
  • In Houck’s 17 starts, his team is 11-6.
  • Tanner Houck has started 17 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 54-35
Home 24-17
Road 30-18
One-Run Games 10-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 41-5

Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-39
Home 20-23
Road 27-16
One-Run Games 11-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-4

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