Predictions for Twins vs. Astros: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 5
Friday’s game at Target Field has the Minnesota Twins (49-38) taking on the Houston Astros (45-42) at 8:10 PM ET (on July 5). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Twins, so expect a competitive matchup.
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Twins vs. Astros Matchup Info
- When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to Watch on TV: SCHN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Twins vs. Astros Predictions
- Score Prediction: Twins 5, Astros 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Twins vs. Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -155 | +130 | 8.5 | -102 | -118 |
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Twins Betting Insights
- Minnesota has been the favorite in 60 games this season, and has come away with the win 39 times (65%) in those contests.
- The Twins have a mark of 22-11 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -155 or better on the moneyline.
- Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of 86 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Twins had a 9-5 record in the 14 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Minnesota and its opponents combined to go over the run total 11 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has won 52.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (12-11).
- The Astros have played as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
- Houston has played in 87 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 33 times (33-50-4).
- The Astros have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and went 5-2 in those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Houston and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Twins vs. Astros Probable Pitchers
Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez
- The 28-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with a 4.88 ERA and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .244.
- Pablo Lopez’s team has a record of 9-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Lopez’s team has won 10 of his 17 starts this season.
- In Lopez’s 17 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Shawn Dubin
- Over his 15 games this season, opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .268 against him. He has a 4.91 ERA and averages 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
- The Astros were the underdog on the moneyline for one Shawn Dubin start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Dubin’s lone start with a total this season went over.
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Twins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 49-38 |
| Home | 25-17 |
| Road | 24-21 |
| One-Run Games | 14-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 36-6 |
Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 45-42 |
| Home | 24-19 |
| Road | 21-23 |
| One-Run Games | 5-15 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 35-5 |
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