Friday’s game at Target Field has the Minnesota Twins (49-38) taking on the Houston Astros (45-42) at 8:10 PM ET (on July 5). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 victory for the Twins, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Twins vs. Astros Matchup Info

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Twins vs. Astros Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Twins vs. Astros Betting Lines

Twins vs Astros Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -155 +130 8.5 -102 -118

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has been the favorite in 60 games this season, and has come away with the win 39 times (65%) in those contests.
  • The Twins have a mark of 22-11 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -155 or better on the moneyline.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of 86 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Twins had a 9-5 record in the 14 games they were a moneyline favorite over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Minnesota and its opponents combined to go over the run total 11 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has won 52.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (12-11).
  • The Astros have played as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
  • Houston has played in 87 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 33 times (33-50-4).
  • The Astros have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and went 5-2 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Houston and its opponents are 7-7-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Twins vs. Astros Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with a 4.88 ERA and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .244.
  • Pablo Lopez’s team has a record of 9-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Lopez’s team has won 10 of his 17 starts this season.
  • In Lopez’s 17 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Shawn Dubin

  • Over his 15 games this season, opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .268 against him. He has a 4.91 ERA and averages 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Astros were the underdog on the moneyline for one Shawn Dubin start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Dubin’s lone start with a total this season went over.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-38
Home 25-17
Road 24-21
One-Run Games 14-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 36-6

Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 45-42
Home 24-19
Road 21-23
One-Run Games 5-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 35-5

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