Friday’s contest at PNC Park has the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-45) taking on the New York Mets (42-43) at 6:40 PM ET (on July 5). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 win for the Pirates, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Pirates vs. Mets Matchup Info

• When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SNY
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Pirates vs. Mets Predictions

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Pirates vs. Mets Betting Lines

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Pirates Betting Insights

• Pittsburgh has been chosen as the favorite in 37 games this year, and has walked away with the win 18 times (48.6%) in those games.
• The Pirates have a win-loss record of 7-8 when favored by -135 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 39 of 86 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Pirates were the moneyline favorite in six of their past 15 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
• Over its past 15 outings, Pittsburgh and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 15 games had set totals).

Mets Betting Insights

• New York has won 19 of the 39 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (48.7%).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Mets have gone 9-7 (56.2%).
• New York has had an over/under set by bookmakers 85 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 45 of those games (45-37-3).
• The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 15 games and won each of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, New York and its opponents are 10-4-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Read More About This Game

• Pirates vs. Mets Tickets — July 5

Pirates vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes

• The 22-year-old has an ERA of 2.06 and 12 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .228 in nine games this season.
• Paul Skenes’ team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-2).
• Skenes’ team is 6-3 when he starts this season.
• Games started by Skenes have a 5-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Severino

• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.42, with 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opponents are batting .225 against him.
• The Mets are 1-3 in Severino’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
• Severino’s team has an 8-8 record in his starts this season.
• Severino’s starts hit the over on the run total 10 times in 16 games with a set total this season.

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Pirates’ 2024 Performance

Mets’ 2024 Performance

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