Predictions for Mariners vs. Blue Jays: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 5
Friday’s game that pits the Seattle Mariners (48-41) against the Toronto Blue Jays (39-48) at T-Mobile Park should be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Mariners. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET on July 5.
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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Matchup Info
- When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
- How to Watch on TV: SNET
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -148 | +124 | 7 | -118 | -102 |
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Mariners Betting Insights
- Seattle has been the favorite in 53 games this season, and has come away with the win 32 times (60.4%) in those contests.
- The Mariners have a mark of 19-10 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -148 or better on the moneyline.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over in 37 of 89 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mariners were the moneyline favorite in eight of their past 15 games, and they went 3-5 in those matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — Seattle and its opponents combined to go over the total eight times.
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- Toronto has won nine of the 35 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (25.7%).
- The Blue Jays are 3-4 (winning 42.9% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
- In the 87 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Toronto, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times (41-43-3).
- In 11 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Blue Jays have a record of 3-8.
- Toronto and its opponents have combined to hit the over 10 times in its past 15 games with a total.
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Mariners vs. Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
Mariners’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Castillo
- The 31-year-old has pitched to a 3.87 ERA this season with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 18 games.
- When Luis Castillo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-5.
- Castillo’s team is 8-10 when he starts this season.
- Games Castillo has started this season hit the over seven times in 18 chances.
Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- The 33-year-old has a 4.75 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings over 17 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .266 to opposing hitters.
- The Blue Jays have a 2-2 record in Gausman’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Gausman’s team is 8-9 in his 17 starts.
- Kevin Gausman has had 17 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 13 of those games.
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Mariners’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 48-41 |
| Home | 29-16 |
| Road | 19-25 |
| One-Run Games | 18-9 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 28-2 |
Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 39-48 |
| Home | 21-24 |
| Road | 18-24 |
| One-Run Games | 9-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 31-6 |
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