Friday’s game between the Atlanta Braves (47-38) and the Philadelphia Phillies (57-30) at Truist Park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 4-3, with the Braves securing the victory. First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET on July 5.

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Braves vs. Phillies Matchup Info

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Braves vs. Phillies Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Braves 4, Phillies 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs

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Braves vs. Phillies Betting Lines

Braves vs Phillies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Braves -143 +120 8 -103 -126

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Braves Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has come away with 44 wins in the 76 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Braves have been victorious 33 times in 56 chances when named as a favorite of at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 27 of 85 opportunities.
  • The Braves played as the moneyline favorite in 13 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-6 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings — all had a set run total — Atlanta and its opponents combined to go over the total two times.

Phillies Betting Insights

  • Philadelphia has put together a 7-7 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
  • The Phillies have a record of 2-2 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (50%).
  • In the 87 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Philadelphia, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-43-5).
  • In the past 15 games, the Phillies have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Philadelphia and its opponents are 7-8-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Braves vs. Phillies Probable Pitchers

Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Max Fried

  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with a 2.91 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .214.
  • Max Fried’s team has been victorious in 73.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-4.
  • Fried’s team has won 12 of his 16 starts.
  • In games Fried has started this season, the teams are 4-11-1 at hitting the over.

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola

  • The 31-year-old has amassed a 3.43 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings during 17 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .217 to his opponents.
  • The Phillies were named the moneyline underdog for two Aaron Nola starts this season — they lost both.
  • Nola’s team has won 13 of his 17 starts.
  • Nola has had 17 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and seven of those outings finished over the total.

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Braves’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-38
Home 27-16
Road 20-22
One-Run Games 9-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 30-6

Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 57-30
Home 33-14
Road 24-16
One-Run Games 13-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 40-5

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