Thursday’s game between the New York Yankees (54-34) and Cincinnati Reds (41-45) squaring off at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 4-3 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 1:05 PM ET on July 4.

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Yankees vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Reds 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Yankees vs. Reds Betting Lines

Yankees vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -175 +145 9 -102 -118

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 40, or 60.6%, of the 66 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Yankees have been victorious 11 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -175 or shorter on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of 88 opportunities.
  • The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 2-10 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all had set totals), New York combined with its opponents to hit the over on the total 12 times.

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has won 21 of the 50 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (42%).
  • The Reds are 5-3 (winning 62.5% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +145 or longer.
  • In the 86 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Cincinnati, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-46-3).
  • The Reds have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won five of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Cincinnati and its opponents are 6-9-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Marcus Stroman

  • The 33-year-old has pitched to a 3.39 ERA this season with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4 walks per nine across 17 games.
  • Marcus Stroman’s team is 7-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Stroman’s team is 12-5 when he starts this season.
  • Games Stroman has started this season hit the over nine times in 17 chances.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Frankie Montás

  • Over 15 games this season, the 31-year-old has amassed a 4.23 ERA and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .236 to opposing hitters.
  • The Reds have a 1-9 record in Montás’ 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Montás’ team has put together a 4-11 record over his 15 starts.
  • Frankie Montas has had 15 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and six of those matchups finished over the total.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 54-34
Home 24-16
Road 30-18
One-Run Games 10-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 41-5

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 41-45
Home 20-23
Road 21-22
One-Run Games 8-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-6

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