Thursday’s contest that pits the Boston Red Sox (46-39) versus the Miami Marlins (30-56) at LoanDepot park has a good chance to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 4-3 in favor of the Red Sox. First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET on July 4.

Place your bets on any MLB matchup at BetMGM, and sign up with our link for a first-time deposit bonus!

Red Sox vs. Marlins Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

MLB is back on Apple TV+! Watch two live games every week, daily coverage, and more.

Red Sox vs. Marlins Predictions

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Marlins 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

Bet on this or any MLB matchup at BetMGM

Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Get tickets for any MLB game this season at Ticketmaster!

Red Sox Betting Insights

• Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 46 games this year, and has walked away with the win 26 times (56.5%) in those games.
• This year, the Red Sox have won four of six games when listed as at least -167 or better on the moneyline.
• Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of 85 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Red Sox went 6-4 across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
• Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over 11 times.

Marlins Betting Insights

• Miami has been the moneyline underdog 71 total times this season. It has gone 27-44 in those games.
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer, the Marlins have a record of 10-19 (34.5%).
• Miami has had an over/under set by bookmakers 86 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 44 of those games (44-40-2).
• In 15 games over their past 15 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Marlins had a record of 7-8.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.

Catch MLB action all season long on ESPN+!

Read More About This Game

• Marlins vs. Red Sox Tickets — July 4

Red Sox vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Nick Pivetta

• The 31-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with a 4.52 ERA and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .248.
• When Nick Pivetta starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-3.
• Pivetta’s team has a 7-5 record in his starts this season.
• In games Pivetta has started this season, the teams are 4-7-1 at hitting the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Kyle Tyler

• In three games this season, he has put up a 3.37 ERA and averages 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings while opposing batters are hitting .216 against him.
• The Marlins were the moneyline underdog for two Kyle Tyler starts this season — they split the games.
• His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
• Tyler’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Rep your team with officially licensed MLB gear! Head to Fanatics to find jerseys, shirts, and much more.

Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Not all offers available in all states, please visit BetMGM for the latest promotions for your area. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.