Thursday’s contest features the Philadelphia Phillies (57-29) and the Chicago Cubs (39-48) matching up at Wrigley Field in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Phillies according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 2:20 PM ET on July 4.

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Phillies vs. Cubs Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 2:20 PM ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Phillies vs. Cubs Predictions

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4

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Phillies vs. Cubs Betting Lines

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Phillies Betting Insights

• Philadelphia has won 50, or 69.4%, of the 72 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
• The Phillies have a mark of 41-20 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -135 or better on the moneyline.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over in 38 of 86 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in 14 of their past 15 games, and they finished 9-5 in those matchups.
• Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Philadelphia and its opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.

Cubs Betting Insights

• Chicago has a 19-26 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.2% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Cubs have an 8-7 record (winning 53.3% of their games).
• Chicago has had an over/under set by bookmakers 87 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 37 of those games (37-45-5).
• The Cubs have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
• Chicago and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Read More About This Game

• Cubs vs. Phillies Tickets — July 4

Phillies vs. Cubs Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez

• The 27-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 2.41, a 3.29 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.189.
• Cristopher Sanchez’s team has been victorious in 53.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-7.
• Sanchez’s team has won nine of his 16 starts.
• In games Sanchez has started this season, the teams are 7-7-2 at hitting the over.

Cubs’ Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon

• The 32-year-old has a 3.03 ERA and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings over 13 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .258 to opposing hitters.
• The Cubs have a 3-4 record in Taillon’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Taillon’s team has a 6-7 record over his 13 starts.
• Jameson Taillon has had 13 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those outings.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Cubs’ 2024 Performance

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