Thursday’s game between the Washington Nationals (40-46) and New York Mets (42-42) squaring off at Nationals Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of the Nationals, so expect a tight matchup. The game will start at 11:05 AM ET on July 4.

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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 11:05 AM ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions

• Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines

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Mets Betting Insights

• New York has been the favorite in 44 games this season, and has come away with the win 23 times (52.3%) in those contests.
• The Mets have a mark of 17-18 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -120 or better on the moneyline.
• New York and its opponents have gone over in 45 of 84 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Mets were the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they went 4-5 in those matchups.
• Over its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to hit the over 11 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Nationals Betting Insights

• Washington has won 43.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (32-41).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +100 or longer, the Nationals have a 31-38 record (winning 44.9% of their games).
• Washington has had an over/under set by bookmakers 86 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 40 of those games (40-41-5).
• In 10 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Nationals had a record of 3-7.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.

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Read More About This Game

• Nationals vs. Mets Tickets — July 4

Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: José Quintana

• The 35-year-old has an ERA of 4.57, a 2.24 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.367 in 16 games this season.
• When Jose Quintana starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-2.
• Quintana’s team has won nine of his 16 starts this season.
• Out of Quintana’s 16 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Jake Irvin

• In 17 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.03, with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .224 against him.
• The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in 15 of Irvin’s starts this season, and they went 6-9 in those games.
• Irvin’s team has won seven of his 17 starts.
• Jake Irvin has started 17 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

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