Thursday’s contest that pits the Cleveland Guardians (53-31) against the Chicago White Sox (25-63) at Progressive Field has a projected final score of 4-2 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Guardians, who are a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. First pitch is at 1:10 PM on July 4.

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Guardians vs. White Sox Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: BSGL
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Guardians vs. White Sox Predictions

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, White Sox 2
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Guardians vs. White Sox Betting Lines

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Guardians Betting Insights

• Cleveland has been victorious in 37, or 68.5%, of the 54 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
• The Guardians have played as a favorite of -265 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 41 of 84 opportunities.
• The Guardians were the moneyline favorite in 10 of their past 15 games, and they went 7-3 in those matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups, Cleveland and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times (all 15 games had set totals).

White Sox Betting Insights

• Chicago has put together a 21-62 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 25.3% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +215 or longer, the White Sox have gone 1-12 (7.7%).
• Chicago has played in 88 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-45-3).
• The White Sox have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
• Chicago and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Read More About This Game

• Guardians vs. White Sox Tickets — July 4

Guardians vs. White Sox Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Ben Lively

• The 32-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 3.03, a 2.9 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.164.
• When Ben Lively starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-2.
• Lively’s team has won eight of his 13 starts this season.
• Games Lively has started this season hit the over three times in 13 chances.

White Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Jared Shuster

• Opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .238 against him this season. He has a 3.15 ERA and 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings over his 17 games.
• Jared Shuster and his team fell in both games he appeared in when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.
• He made 11 appearances last year and his team went 5-6 in those games.
• The games he pitched finished over the total set by oddsmakers five times in 11 opportunities last season.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

White Sox’s 2024 Performance

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