Predictions for Braves vs. Giants: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 4
Thursday’s contest that pits the Atlanta Braves (47-37) against the San Francisco Giants (42-45) at Truist Park is expected to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Braves. First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET on July 4.
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Braves vs. Giants Matchup Info
- When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 7:20 PM ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Giants Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Giants 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Braves vs. Giants Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -125 | +105 | 8 | -108 | -112 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has won 44, or 58.7%, of the 75 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
- The Braves have a mark of 41-27 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -125 or better on the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of 84 opportunities.
- The Braves went 8-5 across the 13 games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- In its past 15 matchups, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total two times (all 15 games had set totals).
Giants Betting Insights
- San Francisco has compiled a 19-25 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 43.2% of those games).
- The Giants have gone 9-18 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer (33.3%).
- San Francisco has combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times this season for a 47-36-4 record against the over/under.
- The Giants have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, San Francisco and its opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.
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Braves vs. Giants Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Charlie Morton
- The 40-year-old has an ERA of 3.89, a 2.42 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.249 in 15 games this season.
- Charlie Morton’s team is 7-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Morton’s team has won seven of his 15 starts.
- Out of Morton’s 15 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Giants’ Starting Pitcher: Logan Webb
- In 18 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.12, with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .259 against him.
- The Giants have been the moneyline underdog in six of Webb’s starts this season, and they went 2-4 in those games.
- Webb’s team is 8-10 over his 18 starts.
- Webb’s starts went over the run total nine times in 18 games with a set total this season.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 47-37 |
| Home | 27-15 |
| Road | 20-22 |
| One-Run Games | 9-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 30-6 |
Giants’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 42-45 |
| Home | 25-19 |
| Road | 17-26 |
| One-Run Games | 12-11 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 29-7 |
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