Thursday’s contest at Rogers Centre has the Toronto Blue Jays (39-47) taking on the Houston Astros (44-42) at 1:07 PM ET (on July 4). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-4 win for the Blue Jays, so it should be a tight matchup.

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Astros vs. Blue Jays Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:07 PM ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Astros vs. Blue Jays Predictions

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Astros vs. Blue Jays Betting Lines

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Astros Betting Insights

• Houston has won 32, or 51.6%, of the 62 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
• This year, the Astros have won 29 of 53 games when listed as at least -120 or better on the moneyline.
• Houston and its opponents have gone over in 33 of 86 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Astros had a 7-1 record across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Houston and its opponents combined to hit the over seven times.

Blue Jays Betting Insights

• Toronto has been the underdog on the moneyline 34 total times this season. It has finished 9-25 in those games.
• The Blue Jays have gone 8-18 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +100 or longer (30.8%).
• Toronto has played in 86 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times (41-42-3).
• The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and went 3-7 in those contests.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Toronto and its opponents have combined to hit the over 11 times.

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Read More About This Game

• Blue Jays vs. Astros Tickets — July 4

Astros vs. Blue Jays Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez

• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.11 and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .258 in 14 games this season.
• Framber Valdez’s team has won 45.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-6).
• Valdez’s team has a 7-7 record in his starts this season.
• Out of Valdez’s 14 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.

Blue Jays’ Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt

• The 35-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.24, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season. Opponents are hitting .259 against him.
• The Blue Jays have a 2-7 record in Bassitt’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Bassitt’s team is 7-10 over his 17 starts.
• Chris Bassitt has started 17 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Blue Jays’ 2024 Performance

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