Wednesday’s game that pits the New York Yankees (54-33) versus the Cincinnati Reds (40-45) at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who are a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 7:05 PM on July 3.

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Yankees vs. Reds Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Reds Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Reds Betting Lines

Yankees vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -192 +160 8.5 -110 -110

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has won 40, or 61.5%, of the 65 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Yankees have a win-loss record of 7-4 when favored by -192 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of 87 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Yankees went 2-10 over the 12 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups, New York and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total 13 times (all 15 games had set totals).

Reds Betting Insights

  • Cincinnati has won 20 of the 49 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (40.8%).
  • The Reds have played in four games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +160 or longer and won every time.
  • Cincinnati has played in 85 games with an over/under set, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times (37-45-3).
  • The Reds have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 15 games and won four of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Cincinnati and its opponents are 6-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Yankees vs. Reds Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Carlos Rodón

  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.42 and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .253 in 17 games this season.
  • When Carlos Rodon starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-3.
  • Rodon’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts.
  • Games Rodon has started this season hit the over 11 times in 17 chances.

Reds’ Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott

  • The 25-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.41, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opposing batters have a .224 batting average against him.
  • The Reds are 6-5 in Abbott’s 11 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Abbott’s team has put together a 9-7 record in his 16 starts.
  • Abbott’s starts hit the over on the run total four times in 16 games with a set total this season.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 54-33
Home 24-15
Road 30-18
One-Run Games 10-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 41-5

Reds’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-45
Home 20-23
Road 20-22
One-Run Games 7-15
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-6

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