Predictions for Red Sox vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 3
Wednesday’s game at LoanDepot park has the Boston Red Sox (45-39) taking on the Miami Marlins (30-55) at 6:40 PM ET (on July 3). Our computer prediction projects a close 6-5 victory for the Red Sox, so expect a competitive matchup.
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Marlins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -148 | +124 | 8 | -115 | -105 |
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Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has been victorious in 25, or 55.6%, of the 45 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Red Sox have come away with a win 11 times in 17 chances when named as a favorite of at least -148 or better on the moneyline.
- Boston’s games have gone over the total in 41 of 84 opportunities.
- The Red Sox had a 5-4 record in the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Boston and its opponents combined to hit the over 10 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has a 27-43 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.6% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +124 or longer, the Marlins have a 13-27 record (winning only 32.5% of their games).
- Miami has had an over/under set by bookmakers 85 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 43 of those games (43-40-2).
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and went 7-8 in those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello
- The 25-year-old has pitched to a 5.55 ERA this season with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.7 walks per nine across 14 games.
- When Brayan Bello starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-3.
- Bello’s team has won eight of his 14 starts this season.
- In games Bello has started this season, the teams are 9-4-1 at hitting the over.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers
- The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.87, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opponents are hitting .280 against him.
- The Marlins have a 3-10 record in Rogers’ 13 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Rogers’ team has won three of his 16 starts.
- Trevor Rogers has started 16 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.
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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 45-39 |
| Home | 20-23 |
| Road | 25-16 |
| One-Run Games | 10-5 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 35-4 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 30-55 |
| Home | 16-28 |
| Road | 14-27 |
| One-Run Games | 14-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 16-10 |
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