Predictions for Mets vs. Nationals: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 3
Wednesday’s contest between the Washington Nationals (39-46) and the New York Mets (42-41) at Nationals Park is expected to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Nationals coming out on top. Game time is at 6:45 PM ET on July 3.
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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info
- When: Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 6:45 PM ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to Watch on TV: MASN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions
- Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -135 | +114 | 8.5 | -120 | +100 |
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Mets Betting Insights
- New York has been victorious in 23, or 53.5%, of the 43 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
- This season, the Mets have been victorious 10 times in 18 chances when named as a favorite of at least -135 or shorter on the moneyline.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 44 of 83 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mets were the moneyline favorite in nine of their past 15 games, and they finished 5-4 in those matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups — all had a set run total — New York and its opponents combined to go over the total 10 times.
Nationals Betting Insights
- Washington has won 31 of the 72 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (43.1%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Nationals have gone 24-33 (42.1%).
- Washington has played in 85 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-41-5).
- The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 15 games and won two of those contests.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott
- Christian Scott did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: Mitchell Parker
- In 14 games this season, the 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.32, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .233 against him.
- The Nationals are 6-6 in Parker’s 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Parker’s team has a 7-7 record in his starts this season.
- Mitchell Parker has started 14 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.
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Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 42-41 |
| Home | 21-25 |
| Road | 21-16 |
| One-Run Games | 16-9 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 29-13 |
Nationals’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 39-46 |
| Home | 17-21 |
| Road | 22-25 |
| One-Run Games | 7-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 26-11 |
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