Wednesday’s game at Progressive Field has the Cleveland Guardians (53-30) squaring off against the Chicago White Sox (24-63) at 6:40 PM ET (on July 3). Our computer prediction projects a lopsided 6-2 win as our model heavily favors the Guardians.

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Guardians vs. White Sox Matchup Info

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Guardians vs. White Sox Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 6, White Sox 2
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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Guardians vs. White Sox Betting Lines

Guardians vs White Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Guardians -180 +150 8.5 -102 -118

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Guardians Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has been chosen as the favorite in 53 games this year, and has walked away with the win 37 times (69.8%) in those games.
  • The Guardians have a mark of 5-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -180 or better on the moneyline.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 40 of 83 opportunities.
  • The Guardians had a 7-2 record in the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), Cleveland and its opponents combined to hit the over nine times.

White Sox Betting Insights

  • Chicago has a 20-62 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 24.4% of those games).
  • The White Sox are 8-39 (winning just 17% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +150 or longer.
  • Chicago has combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times this season for a 39-45-3 record against the over/under.
  • The White Sox have played as underdogs in 12 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • Chicago and its opponents have combined to hit the over five times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Guardians vs. White Sox Probable Pitchers

Guardians’ Starting Pitcher: Gavin Williams

  • He pitched to a 3.29 ERA while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings with a record of 3-5 last season.
  • Gavin Williams and his team won as favorites in 80% of his five appearances last season with a moneyline.
  • The 24-year-old made 16 appearances last year and his team went 8-8 in those games.

White Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Erick Fedde

  • The 31-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.23, with 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season. Opponents are batting .232 against him.
  • The White Sox are 6-11 in Fedde’s 17 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Fedde’s team has won six of his 17 starts.
  • Erick Fedde has had 17 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in eight of those matchups.

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Guardians’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 53-30
Home 27-9
Road 26-21
One-Run Games 14-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 39-6

White Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 24-63
Home 16-29
Road 8-34
One-Run Games 7-18
Scoring 5+ Runs 13-13

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