Tuesday’s contest at LoanDepot park has the Boston Red Sox (44-39) taking on the Miami Marlins (30-54) at 6:40 PM ET (on July 2). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Red Sox, so expect a tight matchup.

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Red Sox vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Red Sox vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Red Sox vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Red Sox -167 +140 8.5 -105 -115

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Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 44 games this year, and has walked away with the win 24 times (54.5%) in those games.
  • This season, the Red Sox have come away with a win four times in six chances when named as a favorite of at least -167 or better on the moneyline.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of 83 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox had a 5-4 record over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Boston and its opponents combined to go over the total 10 times (all 15 games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has gone 27-42 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.1% of those games).
  • In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer, the Marlins have gone 10-19 (34.5%).
  • Miami has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 84 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 42 of those games (42-40-2).
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and won seven of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Miami and its opponents are 6-9-0 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Red Sox vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with a 3.59 ERA and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .224.
  • Kutter Crawford’s team has been victorious in 25% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-6.
  • Crawford’s team has won four of his 16 starts this season.
  • Games Crawford has started this season hit the over six times in 16 chances.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo

  • In one game this season, he has a 0.00 ERA and 3.6 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .118 against him.
  • The Marlins were the underdog on the moneyline for one Valente Bellozo start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
  • Bellozo’s lone start with a total this season went under.

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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 44-39
Home 20-23
Road 24-16
One-Run Games 10-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 34-4

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 30-54
Home 16-27
Road 14-27
One-Run Games 14-10
Scoring 5+ Runs 16-10

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