Predictions for Red Sox vs. Marlins: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 2
Tuesday’s contest at LoanDepot park has the Boston Red Sox (44-39) taking on the Miami Marlins (30-54) at 6:40 PM ET (on July 2). Our computer prediction projects a close 5-4 victory for the Red Sox, so expect a tight matchup.
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Matchup Info
- When: Tuesday, July 2, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: BSFL
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Predictions
- Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | -167 | +140 | 8.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Red Sox Betting Insights
- Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 44 games this year, and has walked away with the win 24 times (54.5%) in those games.
- This season, the Red Sox have come away with a win four times in six chances when named as a favorite of at least -167 or better on the moneyline.
- Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of 83 opportunities.
- The Red Sox had a 5-4 record over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Boston and its opponents combined to go over the total 10 times (all 15 games had set totals).
Marlins Betting Insights
- Miami has gone 27-42 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.1% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer, the Marlins have gone 10-19 (34.5%).
- Miami has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 84 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 42 of those games (42-40-2).
- The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and won seven of those contests.
- When it comes to hitting the over, Miami and its opponents are 6-9-0 in its past 15 games with a total.
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Red Sox vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers
Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford
- The 28-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with a 3.59 ERA and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .224.
- Kutter Crawford’s team has been victorious in 25% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-6.
- Crawford’s team has won four of his 16 starts this season.
- Games Crawford has started this season hit the over six times in 16 chances.
Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Valente Bellozo
- In one game this season, he has a 0.00 ERA and 3.6 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .118 against him.
- The Marlins were the underdog on the moneyline for one Valente Bellozo start this season — they lost.
- His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
- Bellozo’s lone start with a total this season went under.
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Red Sox’s 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 44-39 |
| Home | 20-23 |
| Road | 24-16 |
| One-Run Games | 10-5 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 34-4 |
Marlins’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 30-54 |
| Home | 16-27 |
| Road | 14-27 |
| One-Run Games | 14-10 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 16-10 |
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