Monday’s contest between the Washington Nationals (39-44) and New York Mets (40-41) matching up at Nationals Park has a projected final score of 5-4 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Nationals, so expect a tight matchup. The game will start at 6:45 PM ET on July 1.

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Mets vs. Nationals Matchup Info

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Mets vs. Nationals Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Lines

Mets vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Mets -112 -108 8.5 +100 -120

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Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 21, or 51.2%, of the 41 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • The Mets have a mark of 21-20 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -112 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 43 of 81 opportunities.
  • The Mets went 5-4 over the nine games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total nine times.

Nationals Betting Insights

  • Washington has won 44.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (31-39).
  • The Nationals have gone 31-37 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer (45.6%).
  • Washington has played in 83 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times (38-41-4).
  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 15 games and went 2-5 in those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Washington and its opponents are 7-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Mets vs. Nationals Probable Pitchers

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: David Peterson

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 3.67, a 1.54 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.481.
  • David Peterson’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Peterson’s team is 4-1 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Peterson have a 4-0-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Nationals’ Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore

  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.81, with 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 16 games this season. Opponents are hitting .272 against him.
  • The Nationals have a 4-6 record in Gore’s 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Gore’s team is 7-9 over his 16 starts.
  • Gore’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 16 games with a set total this season.

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Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-41
Home 21-25
Road 19-16
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 27-13

Nationals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-44
Home 17-19
Road 22-25
One-Run Games 7-12
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-10

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