Predictions for Braves vs. Pirates: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 29
Saturday’s game at Truist Park has the Atlanta Braves (44-35) squaring off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-41) at 4:10 PM ET (on June 29). Our computer prediction projects a close 4-3 victory for the Braves, so it should be a competitive matchup.
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Braves vs. Pirates Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to Watch on TV: BSSE
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Braves vs. Pirates Predictions
- Score Prediction: Braves 4, Pirates 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
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Braves vs. Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -155 | +130 | 8 | -102 | -118 |
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Braves Betting Insights
- Atlanta has been chosen as the favorite in 70 games this year, and has walked away with the win 41 times (58.6%) in those games.
- This season, the Braves have come away with a win 27 times in 45 chances when named as a favorite of at least -155 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of 79 opportunities.
- The Braves went 7-4 across the 11 games in which they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 outings, Atlanta and its opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 15 games had set totals).
Pirates Betting Insights
- Pittsburgh has won 48.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (21-22).
- The Pirates have a 4-9 record (winning only 30.8% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
- Pittsburgh has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 80 times, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total in 37 of those games (37-39-4).
- In six games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Pirates had a record of 2-4.
- In its past 15 games with a total, Pittsburgh and its opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
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Braves vs. Pirates Probable Pitchers
Braves’ Starting Pitcher: Max Fried
- The 30-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with a 3.00 ERA and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .211.
- Max Fried’s team has been victorious in 71.4% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-4.
- Fried’s team is 11-4 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Fried have a 4-10-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Pirates’ Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes
- The 22-year-old has an ERA of 2.14, with 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings in eight games this season. Opposing batters have a .222 batting average against him.
- The Pirates have always been the moneyline underdog when Paul Skenes starts this season.
- Skenes’ team has a 6-2 record in his starts this season.
- Skenes has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those outings.
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Braves’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 44-35 |
| Home | 24-13 |
| Road | 20-22 |
| One-Run Games | 8-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 29-6 |
Pirates’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 39-41 |
| Home | 19-20 |
| Road | 20-21 |
| One-Run Games | 14-12 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 24-6 |
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