Predictions for Astros vs. Mets: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 29
Saturday’s game at Citi Field has the New York Mets (39-39) matching up with the Houston Astros (40-40) at 4:10 PM ET (on June 29). Our computer prediction projects a close 6-5 victory for the Mets, so expect a competitive matchup.
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Astros vs. Mets Matchup Info
- When: Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: WPIX
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster
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Astros vs. Mets Predictions
- Score Prediction: Mets 6, Astros 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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Astros vs. Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -120 | +100 | 8.5 | -102 | -118 |
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Astros Betting Insights
- Houston has come away with 30 wins in the 60 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
- The Astros have a mark of 28-24 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -120 or better on the moneyline.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over in 28 of 80 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Astros went 6-4 across the 10 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
- Over its past 15 matchups, Houston and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 15 games had set totals).
Mets Betting Insights
- New York has won 19 of the 39 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (48.7%).
- The Mets are 16-16 (winning 50% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer.
- New York has played in 78 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-36-2).
- In seven games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Mets had a perfect record of 7-0.
- In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
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Astros vs. Mets Probable Pitchers
Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez
- The 30-year-old has pitched to a 3.68 ERA this season with 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 13 games.
- Framber Valdez’s team is 5-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Valdez’s team is 6-7 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Valdez have a 3-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Tylor Megill
- In seven games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.81, with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .244 against him.
- The Mets are 2-2 in Megill’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Megill’s team has a 2-5 record in his starts this season.
- Tylor Megill has started seven contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.
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Astros’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 40-40 |
| Home | 24-19 |
| Road | 16-21 |
| One-Run Games | 5-14 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 31-4 |
Mets’ 2024 Performance
| Split | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall | 39-39 |
| Home | 20-23 |
| Road | 19-16 |
| One-Run Games | 16-9 |
| Scoring 5+ Runs | 26-11 |
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