Saturday’s game at Citi Field has the New York Mets (39-39) matching up with the Houston Astros (40-40) at 4:10 PM ET (on June 29). Our computer prediction projects a close 6-5 victory for the Mets, so expect a competitive matchup.

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Astros vs. Mets Matchup Info

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Astros vs. Mets Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Astros 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Astros vs. Mets Betting Lines

Astros vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Astros -120 +100 8.5 -102 -118

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Astros Betting Insights

  • Houston has come away with 30 wins in the 60 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Astros have a mark of 28-24 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -120 or better on the moneyline.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over in 28 of 80 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Astros went 6-4 across the 10 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups, Houston and its opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 15 games had set totals).

Mets Betting Insights

  • New York has won 19 of the 39 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (48.7%).
  • The Mets are 16-16 (winning 50% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer.
  • New York has played in 78 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-36-2).
  • In seven games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Mets had a perfect record of 7-0.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, New York and its opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.

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Read More About This Game

Astros vs. Mets Probable Pitchers

Astros’ Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez

  • The 30-year-old has pitched to a 3.68 ERA this season with 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.9 walks per nine across 13 games.
  • Framber Valdez’s team is 5-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Valdez’s team is 6-7 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Valdez have a 3-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Mets’ Starting Pitcher: Tylor Megill

  • In seven games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.81, with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .244 against him.
  • The Mets are 2-2 in Megill’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Megill’s team has a 2-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Tylor Megill has started seven contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.

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Astros’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 40-40
Home 24-19
Road 16-21
One-Run Games 5-14
Scoring 5+ Runs 31-4

Mets’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 39-39
Home 20-23
Road 19-16
One-Run Games 16-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 26-11

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