The Phoenix Mercury (9-8) look to build on a three-game home winning stretch when hosting the Indiana Fever (7-12) on June 30, 2024.

Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Sunday’s game.

• Mercury vs. Fever Injury Report

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Spread: Mercury (+7) to Cover

• The DraftKings line for this game has the Mercury favored by seven, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (8.3 points).
• The Mercury’s ATS record is 11-6-0 this season.
• Phoenix is 1-1 against the spread when favored by 7 points or more this season.
• The Fever have a 10-9-0 record against the spread this season.
• In games it has played as at least a 7-point underdog this year, Indiana is 1-6 against the spread.

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Total: Under 171

• The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 3.2 points highter than the model projection.
• The Mercury and their opponent have combined to score over 171 points, the current matchup’s point total, in six of 17 games this season.
• Indiana has played in eight games this season (42.1% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 171 points.
• Out of the Mercury’s 19 games with a set total, eight have hit the over (42.1%).
• The teams have hit the over in 14 of the Fever’s 19 games with a set total.

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Moneyline Winner: Mercury (-345)

• Prediction: Mercury 88, Fever 80
• This season, Indiana has been the underdog 13 times and won two of those games.

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Mercury Leaders

• The scoring leader for the Mercury this season is Kahleah Copper, who averages 22.7 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game.
• Natasha Mack leads Phoenix in rebounding, averaging 5.6 per game, while Natasha Cloud leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 7.1 in each contest.
• Diana Taurasi leads the Mercury in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.
• Cloud is Phoenix’s leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while Mack leads them in blocks with 1.7 per contest.

Mercury Injuries

Fever Leaders

• Kelsey Mitchell is the top scorer for the Fever with 16.3 points per game. She also adds 1.8 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game to her scoring output.
• Indiana’s leader in rebounds is Aliyah Boston with 8.3 per game, and its leader in assists is Caitlin Clark with 6.6 per game.
• Clark is consistent from distance and leads the Fever with 2.8 made threes per game.
• Indiana’s leader in steals is Clark with 1.4 per game, and its leader in blocks is Boston with 1.3 per game.

Fever Injuries

All stats in this article refer to the 2024 regular season.

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