Thursday’s contest between the Philadelphia Phillies (53-27) and the Miami Marlins (28-52) at Citizens Bank Park has a projected final score of 5-3 based on our computer prediction, with a favored Phillies squad securing the victory. First pitch is at 6:20 PM ET on June 27.

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Phillies vs. Marlins Matchup Info

• When: Thursday, June 27, 2024 at 6:20 PM ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Tickets: Get tickets for this game at Ticketmaster

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Phillies vs. Marlins Predictions

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 3
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Lines

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Phillies Betting Insights

• Philadelphia has come away with 47 wins in the 67 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
• The Phillies have been listed as a favorite of -290 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 34 of 80 opportunities.
• The Phillies went 7-4 across the 11 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
• In its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Philadelphia combined with its opponents to go over the run total seven times.

Marlins Betting Insights

• Miami has won 25 of the 65 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (38.5%).
• The Marlins have played as a moneyline underdog of +235 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
• Miami has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 40 times this season for a 40-38-2 record against the over/under.
• In 15 games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Marlins had a record of 6-9.
• In its past 15 games with a total, Miami and its opponents are 6-9-0 when it comes to hitting the over.

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Read More About This Game

• Phillies vs. Marlins Tickets — June 27

Phillies vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Phillies’ Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler

• The 34-year-old has an ERA of 2.73, a 3.69 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .960 in 16 games this season.
• Zack Wheeler’s team has been victorious in 64.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-5.
• Wheeler’s team has won nine of his 16 starts.
• In games Wheeler has started this season, the teams are 6-10-0 at hitting the over.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Trevor Rogers

• The 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.90, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 15 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .282 batting average against him.
• The Marlins have been the moneyline underdog in 12 of Rogers’ starts this season, and they went 2-10 in those games.
• Rogers’ team has won two of his 15 starts.
• Rogers’ starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in six of 15 games.

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Phillies’ 2024 Performance

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

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