Tuesday’s game between the Kansas City Royals (42-37) and Miami Marlins (27-50) squaring off at Kauffman Stadium has a projected final score of 4-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Royals, who is listed as a small favorite by our model. The game will start at 8:10 PM ET on June 25.

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Royals vs. Marlins Matchup Info

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Royals vs. Marlins Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Royals 4, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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Royals vs. Marlins Betting Lines

Royals vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Royals -205 +170 9.5 -108 -112

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Royals Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has been chosen as the favorite in 29 games this year, and has walked away with the win 19 times (65.5%) in those games.
  • The Royals have been listed as a favorite of -205 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of 79 opportunities.
  • The Royals had a 2-3 record over the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their past 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings, Kansas City and its opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Marlins Betting Insights

  • Miami has gone 24-38 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 38.7% of those games).
  • The Marlins have a 2-9 record (winning only 18.2% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +170 or longer.
  • Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times this season for a 40-35-2 record against the over/under.
  • The Marlins have played as underdogs in 15 of their past 15 games and won six of those contests.
  • Miami and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Royals vs. Marlins Probable Pitchers

Royals’ Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo

  • The 34-year-old has pitched to a 2.42 ERA this season with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • Seth Lugo’s team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-2).
  • Lugo’s team has won 11 of his 16 starts.
  • Games started by Lugo have a 6-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Marlins’ Starting Pitcher: Yonny Chirinos

  • In one game this season, he has a 3.60 ERA and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are hitting .348 against him.
  • The Marlins were the moneyline underdog for one Yonny Chirinos start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
  • Chirinos’ lone start with a total this season went under.

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Royals’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 42-37
Home 25-14
Road 17-23
One-Run Games 12-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 24-11

Marlins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 27-50
Home 16-27
Road 11-23
One-Run Games 12-9
Scoring 5+ Runs 15-9

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